Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000095 0.000101 0.000106 0.000112 0.000119 0.000126 0.000135
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000093 0.000101 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000148
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000086 0.000095 0.000106 0.000120 0.000135 0.000156
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000081 0.000091 0.000103 0.000119 0.000137 0.000162
2025-01-26 0.000067 0.000076 0.000086 0.000099 0.000115 0.000136 0.000164
2025-02-02 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085 0.000099 0.000118 0.000142 0.000176
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086 0.000101 0.000122 0.000150 0.000192
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000073 0.000086 0.000103 0.000126 0.000158 0.000209
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000075 0.000089 0.000108 0.000135 0.000174 0.000238
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000072 0.000086 0.000105 0.000133 0.000173 0.000242
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000069 0.000082 0.000101 0.000129 0.000170 0.000241
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000067 0.000081 0.000101 0.000130 0.000174 0.000253
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000067 0.000082 0.000103 0.000135 0.000185 0.000279
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000065 0.000079 0.000101 0.000134 0.000186 0.000289
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000062 0.000076 0.000098 0.000130 0.000184 0.000290
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074 0.000095 0.000128 0.000183 0.000295
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000057 0.000071 0.000091 0.000123 0.000177 0.000289
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000092 0.000126 0.000184 0.000312
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000056 0.000071 0.000093 0.000130 0.000195 0.000345
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000095 0.000134 0.000206 0.000382
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000099 0.000143 0.000229 0.000458
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071 0.000097 0.000141 0.000226 0.000461
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000093 0.000136 0.000220 0.000453